28.9.10

What is the government's reconciliation package to Kashmir?

I am confused. On Saturday, the government announced a eight-point reconciliation package for Kashmir to pacify the protests (for the Ministry of Home Affairs Press Release see this). For the past couple of days, I was hoping some expert on Kashmir will give his opinions in some newspaper or the other about the package, but nothing substantial has turned up. And the package seems to give nothing special to the Kashmiris. I am confused as to if the package is actually a political settlement (even a minor one) or not.

The package gives Kashmir the following:
- Review deployment of the security forces (that is moving check posts, de-scaling bunkers etc. from some parts of Kashmir).
- Setting up a group of interlocutors to hold talks with political parties, youth and members of the civil society.
- The state government will review the notification of places in the Valley as disturbed areas, "a decision that could impact the contentious Armed Forces Special Powers Act (AFSPA), dilution or total withdrawal of which parts of the Valley is a longstanding demand of separatists and even of Omar Abdullah," says Deccan Herald.
- State government to withdraw charges against the students detained in the protests since June this year.
- Lifting of the curfew that has been in place for the last three months.

Now, the last two points just turn the clock back for a few months and revert to the status quo. Setting up a group to hold talks is not exactly confidence-inducing given the track record of the Indian Government. The significant points of the package are review of the deployment and possible dilution of Armed Forces Special Powers Act (AFSPA). The review of deployment will be in consultation with the Unified Command. I can't imagine that in a committee dominated by Army and Paramilitary forces there will be many changes in the deployment structure. If history is any measure to go by, generals are always reluctant to give up any ground, considering all their deployments as indispensable.

The only significant aspect that remains is the review of "disturbed areas". According to AFSPA, which is one of the most draconian laws our government has ever passed, in a region declared as "disturbed area" armed forces have extraordinary powers. The right to declare an area disturbed lies with the central government and the state governor, however the central government can always overrule the state. The package allows state government to review these disturbed areas and recommend central government to change some of them. It seems unlikely that entire Kashmir will be declassified as a "disturbed area." If the government only removes the label from a few small parts of the state, would that make a major difference?

So is this reconciliation package just eyewash, reversion to the old status quo? As I said, I am confused.

PS: An idea that I really liked was setting up a Truth and Reconciliation Commission suggested by Prof Amitabh Mattoo. As he says, "A commission like this is not about fixing blame, but about accepting the tragic events of the past, bringing the past to a closure and moving together into a better future. It is about recognising the tragedy of two decades, of those who disappeared or who were killed, or the tragic displacement of Kashmiri Pandits."

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